Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.543894 3.766141 4.004418 4.280546 4.593894 4.941096 5.358709
2025-05-04 3.347222 3.667403 4.031457 4.482550 5.036232 5.707757 6.607892
2025-05-11 3.144276 3.527100 3.983094 4.580569 5.366859 6.406650 7.968717
2025-05-18 2.940949 3.359504 3.876658 4.586153 5.578145 6.999931 9.400560
2025-05-25 2.714225 3.138935 3.677095 4.439980 5.555724 7.259662 10.441535
2025-06-01 2.558001 2.992705 3.556908 4.382730 5.646956 7.713297 12.053986
2025-06-08 2.432891 2.875634 3.462752 4.347764 5.762814 8.239117 14.168365
2025-06-15 2.343993 2.798825 3.415105 4.372574 5.976056 9.006915 17.578391
2025-06-22 2.228210 2.677205 3.293744 4.270091 5.955315 9.313738 20.116676
2025-06-29 2.109742 2.544881 3.147490 4.113609 5.814640 9.329032 21.774334
2025-07-06 2.022128 2.450638 3.050108 4.025580 5.785477 9.591567 24.998845
2025-07-13 2.003811 2.451920 3.092111 4.167073 6.212309 11.128851 40.247630
2025-07-20 1.962701 2.424115 3.097015 4.263141 6.609119 12.976905 86.710004
2025-07-27 1.935073 2.414367 3.129359 4.413503 7.173900 15.978742 NaN
2025-08-03 1.889330 2.375194 3.112466 4.473724 7.561439 18.982526 NaN
2025-08-10 1.831692 2.314989 3.057273 4.455367 7.756787 21.575838 NaN
2025-08-17 1.753201 2.219533 2.938531 4.301512 7.563022 21.824564 NaN
2025-08-24 1.697119 2.155819 2.868558 4.237413 7.603737 23.792847 NaN
2025-08-31 1.649638 2.103117 2.813651 4.197778 7.706810 26.646236 NaN
2025-09-07 1.615633 2.069575 2.788702 4.216368 7.990303 32.347223 NaN
2025-09-14 1.564452 2.007164 2.711065 4.117412 7.888662 33.938806 NaN
2025-09-21 1.508136 1.934892 2.613407 3.968979 7.603732 32.699588 NaN
2025-09-28 1.465466 1.882715 2.548228 3.885236 7.515939 34.224439 NaN